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Tomislav vs Vitez Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 24 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 15:30

Tomislav

PPG 1.55 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Vitez

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.55) vs P(Home)=48.1%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-18.6%0-24.5%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.0%1-112.5%1-26.5%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.7%2-19.1%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.2%3-14.4%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.2%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 47.6% — — —

Over 3.5 24.1% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 0–0 8.2%

#4 2–1 9.1%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tomislav1.5

Vitez1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 24.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TOMISLAV · PPG 1.55

VITEZ · PPG 0.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.55) vs P(Home)=48.1%

Win probability 1X2

Tomislav (H) 48.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vitez (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tomislav face Vitez in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tomislav a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Vitez 25%, so Tomislav are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Tomislav and 1.0 for Vitez (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tomislav are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 0.64 for Vitez. This match finished 3-0.

Tomislav vs Vitez Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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