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GOSK Gabela vs Tusla City Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 24 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 15:30

GOSK Gabela

PPG 1.73 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Tusla City

PPG 0.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.73) vs P(Home)=60.9%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-14.7%0-21.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.9%1-19.2%1-22.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.6%2-19.0%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.5%3-15.9%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.2%4+-14.5%4+-21.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.9% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 15.9% — — —

Over 2.5 49.8% — — —

Over 3.5 25.8% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.6%

H 61% / xG 2.0-0.6 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.6%

#2 1–0 14.9%

#3 1–1 9.2%

#4 3–0 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GOSK Gabela2.0

Tusla City0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GOSK GABELA · PPG 1.73

TUSLA CITY · PPG 0.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.73) vs P(Home)=60.9%

Win probability 1X2

GOSK Gabela (H) 60.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tusla City (A) 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

GOSK Gabela face Tusla City in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GOSK Gabela a 61% chance, the draw 23% and Tusla City 16%, so GOSK Gabela are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for GOSK Gabela and 0.6 for Tusla City (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GOSK Gabela are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.27 for Tusla City. This match finished 4-1.

GOSK Gabela vs Tusla City Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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