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Ostrava U19 vs Pardubice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 10:00

Ostrava U19

PPG 2.23 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Pardubice U19

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-13.6%0-22.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-04.9%1-17.9%1-26.3%1-33.3%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.4%2-18.7%2-26.9%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-04.0%3-16.4%3-25.1%3-32.7%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-15.9%4+-24.7%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 25.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 52.7% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.0%

H 51% / xG 2.2-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.9%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 3–1 6.4%

#5 1–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ostrava U192.2

Pardubice U191.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 52.7%

Form & verdict PPG

OSTRAVA U19 · PPG 2.23

PARDUBICE U19 · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs P(Home)=51.4%

Win probability 1X2

Ostrava U19 (H) 51.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pardubice U19 (A) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ostrava U19 face Pardubice U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ostrava U19 a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Pardubice U19 25%, so Ostrava U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Ostrava U19 and 1.6 for Pardubice U19 (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ostrava U19 are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 1.08 for Pardubice U19. This match finished 3-2.

Ostrava U19 vs Pardubice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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