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Dukla P. U19 vs Sparta P. U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 08:15

Dukla P. U19

PPG 1.46 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sparta P. U19

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.46), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.0%0-23.1%0-32.1%0-4+1.7%1 1-03.2%1-16.6%1-26.7%1-34.6%1-4+3.8%2 2-03.5%2-17.1%2-27.3%2-35.0%2-4+4.1%3 3-02.5%3-15.1%3-25.2%3-33.6%3-4+2.9%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-14.6%4+-24.7%4+-33.2%4+-4+2.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.7% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 35.3% — — —

Over 2.5 64.5% — — —

Over 3.5 60.6% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob66.7%

H 43% / xG 2.2-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.6%

#2 2–2 7.3%

#3 2–1 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 3–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dukla P. U192.2

Sparta P. U192.0

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.5% · O3.5 PROB 60.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DUKLA P. U19 · PPG 1.46

SPARTA P. U19 · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.46), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Dukla P. U19 (H) 42.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sparta P. U19 (A) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dukla P. U19 face Sparta P. U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dukla P. U19 a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Sparta P. U19 35%, so Dukla P. U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Dukla P. U19 and 2.0 for Sparta P. U19 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dukla P. U19 are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.38 for Sparta P. U19. This match finished 2-0.

Dukla P. U19 vs Sparta P. U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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