Today / Kuwait - Premier League / Al Fahaheel vs Al Kuwait

Al Fahaheel vs Al Kuwait Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 15 ·Thursday, May 21, 2026, 17:20

Al Fahaheel

PPG 1.43 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al Kuwait

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 65.4% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-18.5%0-211.5%0-310.4%0-4+13.7%1 1-02.3%1-16.3%1-28.6%1-37.8%1-4+10.3%2 2-00.9%2-12.4%2-23.2%2-32.9%2-4+3.9%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-20.8%3-30.7%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.5% 11.1% 9.00 +12.9%

Draw 21.2% 21.7% 4.60 -1.5%

Away win 65.4% 80.0% 1.25 -18.3%

Over 2.5 63.9% 70.4% 1.42 -9.3%

Over 3.5 45.7% 47.6% 2.10 -4.0%

BTTS 51.6% 54.1% 1.85 -4.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -31.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob51.6%

A 65% / xG 0.8-2.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.5%

#2 0–3 10.4%

#3 1–2 8.6%

#4 1–3 7.8%

#5 0–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Fahaheel0.8

Al Kuwait2.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL FAHAHEEL · PPG 1.43

AL KUWAIT · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs Home AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Al Fahaheel (H) 13.5%

ODDS 9.00 · IMPLIED 11.1% EV +12.9%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -1.5%

Al Kuwait (A) 65.4%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -18.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Fahaheel face Al Kuwait in Kuwait - Premier League on Thursday, May 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Fahaheel a 14% chance, the draw 21% and Al Kuwait 65%, so Al Kuwait are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Al Fahaheel and 2.7 for Al Kuwait (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Fahaheel are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 2.20 for Al Kuwait. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +12.9%. This match finished 0-4.

Al Fahaheel vs Al Kuwait Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Kuwait - Premier League Predictions