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Vitez vs Travnik Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 23 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Vitez

PPG 1.55 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Travnik

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.2%0-114.4%0-27.9%0-32.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.3%1-113.4%1-27.4%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.7%2-16.3%2-23.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.8%3-12.0%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.4% — — —

Draw 31.1% — — —

Away win 36.5% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 14.8% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.6%

D 31% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 13.2%

#3 0–1 14.4%

#4 1–0 12.3%

#5 0–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vitez0.9

Travnik1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VITEZ · PPG 1.55

TRAVNIK · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.55) > Away POOR (0.91)

Win probability 1X2

Vitez (H) 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Travnik (A) 36.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vitez face Travnik in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitez a 32% chance, the draw 31% and Travnik 37%, so Travnik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Vitez and 1.1 for Travnik (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitez are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 0.91 for Travnik. This match finished 2-0.

Vitez vs Travnik Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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