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Jedinstvo Bihac vs Tomislav Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 23 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Jedinstvo Bihac

PPG 2.09 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Tomislav

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-110.1%0-24.6%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.4%1-113.0%1-25.9%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.3%2-18.4%2-23.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.0%3-13.6%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.6% — — —

Draw 28.5% — — —

Away win 24.9% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.8% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 47% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 11.2%

#3 1–0 14.4%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jedinstvo Bihac1.3

Tomislav0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDINSTVO BIHAC · PPG 2.09

TOMISLAV · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.09) vs P(Home)=46.6%

Win probability 1X2

Jedinstvo Bihac (H) 46.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tomislav (A) 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jedinstvo Bihac face Tomislav in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jedinstvo Bihac a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Tomislav 25%, so Jedinstvo Bihac are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Jedinstvo Bihac and 0.9 for Tomislav (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jedinstvo Bihac are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 0.55 for Tomislav. This match finished 3-1.

Jedinstvo Bihac vs Tomislav Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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