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Zilina W vs Trnava W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Group Stage ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 14:00

Zilina W

PPG 1.08 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Trnava W

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.5%0-23.0%0-31.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-04.3%1-17.5%1-26.6%1-33.8%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.7%2-18.2%2-27.1%2-34.2%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.4%3-15.9%3-25.2%3-33.0%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-15.3%4+-24.7%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.6% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 27.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 55.0% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.0%

H 49% / xG 2.2-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 3–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zilina W2.2

Trnava W1.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 55.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ZILINA W · PPG 1.08

TRNAVA W · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.08), Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Zilina W (H) 48.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Trnava W (A) 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zilina W face Trnava W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zilina W a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Trnava W 27%, so Zilina W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Zilina W and 1.7 for Trnava W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zilina W are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 0.92 for Trnava W. This match finished 0-1.

Zilina W vs Trnava W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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