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Budejovice U19 vs Jihlava U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:15

Budejovice U19 logo
Budejovice U19
PPG 1.50 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Jihlava U19 logo
Jihlava U19
PPG 0.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.4%0-20.9%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-03.6%1-14.5%1-22.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.5%2 2-05.8%2-17.3%2-24.6%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.3%3-17.9%3-25.0%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-011.6%4+-114.6%4+-29.2%4+-33.9%4+-4+1.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 61.7%
Draw 20.6%
Away win 17.7%
Over 2.5 69.8%
Over 3.5 66.0%
BTTS 62.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 70%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 16.3%
Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)3.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.5%

H 62% / xG 3.2-1.3 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.9%
#2 2–1 7.3%
#3 4–1 6.4%
#4 3–0 6.3%
#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Budejovice U193.3
Jihlava U191.3

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 66.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDEJOVICE U19 · PPG 1.50

JIHLAVA U19 · PPG 0.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=61.7%

Win probability 1X2

Budejovice U19 (H) 61.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Jihlava U19 (A) 17.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Budejovice U19 face Jihlava U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Budejovice U19 a 62% chance, the draw 21% and Jihlava U19 18%, so Budejovice U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Budejovice U19 and 1.3 for Jihlava U19 (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Budejovice U19 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.08 for Jihlava U19. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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