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Sparta P. U19 vs Fastav Zlin U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 11:00

Sparta P. U19

PPG 1.67 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Fastav Zlin U19

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.1%0-22.7%0-31.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-04.0%1-17.0%1-26.2%1-33.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.6%2-18.0%2-27.1%2-34.2%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.5%3-16.1%3-25.4%3-33.2%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-16.0%4+-25.3%4+-33.1%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.6% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 25.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 57.7% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.0%

H 52% / xG 2.3-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.0%

#2 2–1 8.0%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.2%

#5 3–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sparta P. U192.3

Fastav Zlin U191.8

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 57.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SPARTA P. U19 · PPG 1.67

FASTAV ZLIN U19 · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Sparta P. U19 (H) 51.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fastav Zlin U19 (A) 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sparta P. U19 face Fastav Zlin U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sparta P. U19 a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Fastav Zlin U19 26%, so Sparta P. U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Sparta P. U19 and 1.8 for Fastav Zlin U19 (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sparta P. U19 are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.92 for Fastav Zlin U19. This match finished 3-3.

Sparta P. U19 vs Fastav Zlin U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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