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Pardubice U19 vs Karvina U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 10:45

Pardubice U19

PPG 2.08 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Karvina U19

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-14.5%0-23.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-06.3%1-19.1%1-26.6%1-33.2%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.4%2-19.2%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.3%3-16.2%3-24.5%3-32.1%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-15.0%4+-23.6%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.2% — — —

Draw 23.8% — — —

Away win 25.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 45.5% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.7%

H 51% / xG 2.0-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 2–2 6.6%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pardubice U192.0

Karvina U191.4

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PARDUBICE U19 · PPG 2.08

KARVINA U19 · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.08) vs P(Home)=51.2%

Win probability 1X2

Pardubice U19 (H) 51.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Karvina U19 (A) 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pardubice U19 face Karvina U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pardubice U19 a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Karvina U19 25%, so Pardubice U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Pardubice U19 and 1.4 for Karvina U19 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pardubice U19 are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 1.08 for Karvina U19. This match finished 3-4.

Pardubice U19 vs Karvina U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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