Today / Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 / Dukla P. U19 vs H. Kralove U19

Dukla P. U19 vs H. Kralove U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 08:15

Dukla P. U19 logo
Dukla P. U19
PPG 1.58 · HOME
1 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
H. Kralove U19 logo
H. Kralove U19
PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.7%0-24.6%0-33.8%0-4+4.2%1 1-02.6%1-16.5%1-27.9%1-36.5%1-4+7.2%2 2-02.3%2-15.6%2-26.9%2-35.6%2-4+6.2%3 3-01.3%3-13.2%3-23.9%3-33.2%3-4+3.6%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-12.0%4+-22.5%4+-32.1%4+-4+2.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 29.3%
Draw 24.2%
Away win 46.5%
Over 2.5 63.3%
Over 3.5 60.2%
BTTS 63.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 70%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 16.3%
Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-3
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob63.0%

A 46% / xG 1.7-2.5 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.9%
#2 1–1 6.5%
#3 2–2 6.9%
#4 1–3 6.5%
#5 2–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dukla P. U191.7
H. Kralove U192.5

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 60.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DUKLA P. U19 · PPG 1.58

H. KRALOVE U19 · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.58), Away GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

Dukla P. U19 (H) 29.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
H. Kralove U19 (A) 46.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dukla P. U19 face H. Kralove U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dukla P. U19 a 29% chance, the draw 24% and H. Kralove U19 47%, so H. Kralove U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Dukla P. U19 and 2.5 for H. Kralove U19 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dukla P. U19 are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.83 for H. Kralove U19. This match finished 1-3.

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