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S. Liberec U19 vs Ostrava U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 08:00

S. Liberec U19

PPG 1.17 · HOME

6 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ostrava U19

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-13.2%0-24.5%0-34.3%0-4+6.1%1 1-01.8%1-15.2%1-27.4%1-37.1%1-4+10.1%2 2-01.5%2-14.3%2-26.1%2-35.8%2-4+8.4%3 3-00.8%3-12.4%3-23.4%3-33.2%3-4+4.6%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.4%4+-22.0%4+-31.9%4+-4+2.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.4% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 57.3% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 65.8% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob63.0%

A 57% / xG 1.7-2.9 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.4%

#2 1–3 7.1%

#3 2–2 6.1%

#4 1–1 5.2%

#5 2–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Liberec U191.7

Ostrava U192.9

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 65.8%

Form & verdict PPG

S. LIBEREC U19 · PPG 1.17

OSTRAVA U19 · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.17) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

S. Liberec U19 (H) 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ostrava U19 (A) 57.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Liberec U19 face Ostrava U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Liberec U19 a 22% chance, the draw 20% and Ostrava U19 57%, so Ostrava U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for S. Liberec U19 and 2.9 for Ostrava U19 (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Liberec U19 are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.50 for Ostrava U19. This match finished 6-1.

S. Liberec U19 vs Ostrava U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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