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Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 15 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 17:15

Al Qadsia

PPG 1.86 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Al Salmiyah

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.0%0-111.2%0-24.5%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.3%1-113.1%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.5%2-17.6%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.7%3-12.9%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% 54.9% 1.82 -20.8%

Draw 31.8% 29.4% 3.40 +8.1%

Away win 24.6% 24.4% 4.10 +0.5%

Over 2.5 35.4% 50.0% 2.00 -29.2%

Over 3.5 13.6% 29.0% 3.45 -31.9%

BTTS 48.1% 55.6% 1.80 -13.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -31.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.1%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.0%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.3%

#4 2–0 9.5%

#5 0–1 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Qadsia1.2

Al Salmiyah0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.4% · O3.5 PROB 13.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL QADSIA · PPG 1.86

AL SALMIYAH · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.71)

Win probability 1X2

Al Qadsia (H) 43.5%

ODDS 1.82 · IMPLIED 54.9% EV -20.8%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +8.1%

Al Salmiyah (A) 24.6%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Qadsia face Al Salmiyah in Kuwait - Premier League on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Qadsia a 44% chance, the draw 32% and Al Salmiyah 25%, so Al Qadsia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Al Qadsia and 0.8 for Al Salmiyah (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Qadsia are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.71 for Al Salmiyah. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +8.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Kuwait - Premier League Predictions