Today / Kuwait - Premier League / Al Shabab vs Kazma

Al Shabab vs Kazma Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 15 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 14:40

Al Shabab

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Kazma

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 56.0% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-119.5%0-213.4%0-36.2%0-4+2.9%1 1-08.1%1-111.3%1-27.8%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-02.4%2-13.3%2-22.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.5%3-10.6%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.5% 21.7% 4.60 -22.7%

Draw 30.5% 27.4% 3.65 +11.3%

Away win 56.0% 59.9% 1.67 -6.5%

Over 2.5 35.1% 57.8% 1.73 -39.3%

Over 3.5 13.5% 36.4% 2.75 -37.7%

BTTS 45.9% 60.6% 1.65 -24.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -31.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob45.9%

A 56% / xG 0.6-1.4 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 19.5%

#2 0–0 14.1%

#3 0–2✓ 13.4%

#4 1–1 11.3%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Shabab0.6

Kazma1.4

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 13.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SHABAB · PPG 1.00

KAZMA · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.83) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Al Shabab (H) 13.5%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -22.7%

Draw 30.5%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +11.3%

Kazma (A) 56.0%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -6.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Shabab face Kazma in Kuwait - Premier League on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Shabab a 14% chance, the draw 31% and Kazma 56%, so Kazma are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Al Shabab and 1.4 for Kazma (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Shabab are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.83 for Kazma. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +11.3%. This match finished 0-2.

Al Shabab vs Kazma Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Kuwait - Premier League Predictions