Today / Kuwait - Premier League / Al Jahra vs Al Nasar

Al Jahra vs Al Nasar Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 15 ·Thursday, May 14, 2026, 14:40

Al Jahra

PPG 0.67 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Al Nasar

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-113.9%0-28.2%0-33.2%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.3%1-113.3%1-27.9%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.4%2-16.4%2-23.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.7%3-12.0%3-21.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.1% 30.8% 3.25 +10.8%

Draw 30.2% 30.3% 3.30 -0.3%

Away win 35.6% 48.1% 2.08 -25.9%

Over 2.5 45.4% 47.6% 2.10 -4.7%

Over 3.5 16.8% 26.7% 3.75 -22.2%

BTTS 49.7% 55.6% 1.80 -10.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -31.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.7%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.8%

#3 0–1 13.9%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 0–2✓ 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jahra1.0

Al Nasar1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.4% · O3.5 PROB 16.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JAHRA · PPG 0.67

AL NASAR · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Al Jahra (H) 34.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +10.8%

Draw 30.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -0.3%

Al Nasar (A) 35.6%

ODDS 2.08 · IMPLIED 48.1% EV -25.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jahra face Al Nasar in Kuwait - Premier League on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jahra a 34% chance, the draw 30% and Al Nasar 36%, so Al Nasar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Al Jahra and 1.2 for Al Nasar (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jahra are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.57 for Al Nasar. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.8%. This match finished 0-2.

Al Jahra vs Al Nasar Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Kuwait - Premier League Predictions