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GOSK Gabela vs Vitez Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 22 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 17:00

GOSK Gabela

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Vitez

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=48.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-18.5%0-23.5%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.1%1-112.3%1-25.0%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.9%2-18.9%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.2%3-14.3%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 24.8% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 19.2% — — —

BTTS 50.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob50.8%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0✓ 15.1%

#3 0–0 10.5%

#4 2–0 10.9%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GOSK Gabela1.4

Vitez0.8

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 19.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GOSK GABELA · PPG 1.60

VITEZ · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=48.8%

Win probability 1X2

GOSK Gabela (H) 48.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vitez (A) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

GOSK Gabela face Vitez in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GOSK Gabela a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Vitez 25%, so GOSK Gabela are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for GOSK Gabela and 0.8 for Vitez (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GOSK Gabela are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.70 for Vitez. This match finished 1-0.

GOSK Gabela vs Vitez Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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