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Tomislav vs Stupcanica Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 22 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 15:00

Tomislav

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Stupcanica

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.60)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-112.0%0-28.5%0-34.0%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.9%1-112.6%1-28.9%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-04.7%2-16.7%2-24.7%2-32.2%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.7%3-12.3%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.8% — — —

Draw 28.0% — — —

Away win 43.1% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 23.6% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.3%

A 43% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.6%

#2 0–0 8.5%

#3 0–1 12.0%

#4 1–2 8.9%

#5 0–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tomislav1.1

Stupcanica1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 23.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TOMISLAV · PPG 1.60

STUPCANICA · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Tomislav (H) 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stupcanica (A) 43.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tomislav face Stupcanica in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tomislav a 29% chance, the draw 28% and Stupcanica 43%, so Stupcanica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Tomislav and 1.4 for Stupcanica (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tomislav are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.60 for Stupcanica. This match finished 1-1.

Tomislav vs Stupcanica Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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