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Turkey - Süper Lig logo Turkey flag Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 33 Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium· Konya Saturday, May 9, 2026 17:00
Konyaspor logo Konyaspor PPG 1.50
0-3 MISS
Fenerbahce logo Fenerbahce PPG 2.00
Home· +52.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.6%
Odds: 6.80 EV: +52.6%
Draw 27.0%
Odds: 4.30 EV: +9.7%
Away 45.4%
Odds: 1.45 EV: -34.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.62 -3.9%
Over 3.5 32.9% Odds: 2.55 -16.1%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.73 -5.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Konyaspor
1.12
Fenerbahce
1.77

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+52.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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