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Turkey - Süper Lig
Regular Season - 33
Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu· Izmit
Saturday, May 9, 2026
17:00
Kocaelispor
PPG 1.44
0-1
HIT CS5
F. Karagumruk
PPG 0.38
Draw· -3.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
46.7%
Odds: 2.00
EV: -6.6%
Draw
28.2%
Odds: 3.35
EV: -3.3%
Away
25.1%
Odds: 3.65
EV: -5.0%
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.1%
Odds: 2.10
-26.3%
Over 3.5
12.9%
Odds: 3.80
-30.6%
BTTS
48.2%
Odds: 1.85
-10.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
0-1
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Kocaelispor
1.21
F. Karagumruk
0.71
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=46.7%