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Turkey - Süper Lig logo Turkey flag Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 33 Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu· Izmit Saturday, May 9, 2026 17:00
Kocaelispor logo Kocaelispor PPG 1.44
0-1 HIT CS5
F. Karagumruk logo F. Karagumruk PPG 0.38
Draw· -3.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.7%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -6.6%
Draw 28.2%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -3.3%
Away 25.1%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -5.0%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.1% Odds: 2.10 -26.3%
Over 3.5 12.9% Odds: 3.80 -30.6%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.85 -10.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Kocaelispor
1.21
F. Karagumruk
0.71

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=46.7%

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