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Turkey - Süper Lig logo Turkey flag Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 33 Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu· Izmir Saturday, May 9, 2026 17:00
Goztepe logo Goztepe PPG 1.75
2-1 HIT CS5
Gaziantep logo Gaziantep PPG 1.06
Away· +20.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.0%
Odds: 1.51 EV: -23.0%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +6.5%
Away 22.6%
Odds: 5.90 EV: +20.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.70 -20.9%
Over 3.5 23.1% Odds: 2.80 -21.2%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.77 -7.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Goztepe
1.61
Gaziantep
0.84

Model Suggestion

BTTS -7.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+20.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

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