Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa Prediction & Tips

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Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 33 Eryaman Stadium· Ankara Saturday, May 9, 2026 17:00

Genclerbirligi PPG 1.38

3-2 MISS

Kasimpasa PPG 0.88

Home· +6.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.2%

Odds: 2.40 EV: +6.1%

Draw 29.4%

Odds: 3.15 EV: -4.4%

Away 26.4%

Odds: 2.96 EV: -13.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.10 -3.8%

Over 3.5 18.2% Odds: 3.80 -18.5%

BTTS 51.1% Odds: 1.80 -8.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Genclerbirligi

1.24

Kasimpasa

0.97

Model SuggestionBTTS -8.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+6.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.88)