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Karvina U19 vs S. Liberec U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 09:00

Karvina U19

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

S. Liberec U19

PPG 0.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.4%0-21.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.1%1-14.5%1-23.3%1-31.6%1-4+0.8%2 2-04.9%2-17.2%2-25.2%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.2%3-17.6%3-25.5%3-32.7%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-09.0%4+-113.2%4+-29.6%4+-34.7%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.0% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 21.3% — — —

Over 2.5 73.2% — — —

Over 3.5 67.8% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.0%

H 58% / xG 3.2-1.5 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.6%

#2 2–1 7.2%

#3 4–1 6.0%

#4 3–2✓ 5.5%

#5 2–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karvina U193.2

S. Liberec U191.5

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.2% · O3.5 PROB 67.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KARVINA U19 · PPG 2.00

S. LIBEREC U19 · PPG 0.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=58.0%

Win probability 1X2

Karvina U19 (H) 58.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Liberec U19 (A) 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Karvina U19 face S. Liberec U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karvina U19 a 58% chance, the draw 21% and S. Liberec U19 21%, so Karvina U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Karvina U19 and 1.5 for S. Liberec U19 (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karvina U19 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.58 for S. Liberec U19. This match finished 3-2.

Karvina U19 vs S. Liberec U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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