F. Karagumruk vs Eyupspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 30 Ataturk Olimpiyat· Istanbul Saturday, April 18, 2026 11:30

F. Karagumruk PPG 1.07

1-2 MISS

Eyupspor PPG 0.64

Draw· +2.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

F. Karagumruk face Eyupspor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives F. Karagumruk a 47% chance, the draw 30% and Eyupspor 23%, so F. Karagumruk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for F. Karagumruk and 0.7 for Eyupspor (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, F. Karagumruk are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.64 for Eyupspor. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.4%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -9.9%

Draw 30.1%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +2.3%

Away 22.5%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -10.0%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 31.0% Odds: 2.00 -38.0%

Over 3.5 13.4% Odds: 3.50 -53.1%

BTTS 36.6% Odds: 1.80 -34.1%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

F. Karagumruk

1.21

Eyupspor

0.74

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 61%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.07) > Away POOR (0.64)