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R. Hadzici vs Tusla City Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 22 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 15:00

R. Hadzici

PPG 1.56 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Tusla City

PPG 0.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-15.5%0-22.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.6%1-110.3%1-23.9%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.7%2-19.6%2-23.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.9%3-15.9%3-22.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-14.2%4+-21.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 52.8% — — —

Over 3.5 26.7% — — —

BTTS 51.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.3%

H 51% / xG 1.9-0.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 12.7%

#2 1–0 13.6%

#3 1–1 10.3%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

R. Hadzici1.9

Tusla City0.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.7%

Form & verdict PPG

R. HADZICI · PPG 1.56

TUSLA CITY · PPG 0.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.56) vs P(Home)=51.0%

Win probability 1X2

R. Hadzici (H) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tusla City (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Hadzici face Tusla City in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Hadzici a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Tusla City 23%, so R. Hadzici are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for R. Hadzici and 0.8 for Tusla City (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Hadzici are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.30 for Tusla City. This match finished 2-0.

R. Hadzici vs Tusla City Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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