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Petrzalka W vs Bardejov W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Championship Group - 2 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 14:00

Petrzalka W

PPG 0.80 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bardejov W

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-13.2%0-24.5%0-34.3%0-4+6.1%1 1-01.8%1-15.2%1-27.4%1-37.1%1-4+10.1%2 2-01.5%2-14.3%2-26.2%2-35.8%2-4+8.3%3 3-00.8%3-12.4%3-23.4%3-33.2%3-4+4.6%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.4%4+-22.0%4+-31.9%4+-4+2.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.8% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 56.2% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 65.8% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob63.1%

A 56% / xG 1.7-2.8 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.4%

#2 1–3✓ 7.1%

#3 2–2 6.2%

#4 1–1 5.2%

#5 2–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petrzalka W1.7

Bardejov W2.8

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 65.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PETRZALKA W · PPG 0.80

BARDEJOV W · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.56) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Petrzalka W (H) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bardejov W (A) 56.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Petrzalka W face Bardejov W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petrzalka W a 23% chance, the draw 21% and Bardejov W 56%, so Bardejov W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Petrzalka W and 2.8 for Bardejov W (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petrzalka W are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.56 for Bardejov W. This match finished 1-3.

Petrzalka W vs Bardejov W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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