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Komarno W vs Zilina W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Group Stage ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 14:00

Komarno W logo
Komarno W
PPG 1.27 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Zilina W logo
Zilina W
PPG 0.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-15.9%0-23.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.3%1-110.7%1-26.2%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.5%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.1%3-15.9%3-23.4%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-14.1%4+-22.4%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 49.3%
Draw 25.6%
Away win 25.1%
Over 2.5 59.3%
Over 3.5 34.7%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.8%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%
#2 2–1 9.8%
#3 2–0 8.5%
#4 1–0 9.3%
#5 0–0 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Komarno W1.8
Zilina W1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KOMARNO W · PPG 1.27

ZILINA W · PPG 0.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.27) vs P(Home)=49.3%

Win probability 1X2

Komarno W (H) 49.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Zilina W (A) 25.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Komarno W face Zilina W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Komarno W a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Zilina W 25%, so Komarno W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Komarno W and 1.2 for Zilina W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Komarno W are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 0.45 for Zilina W. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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