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Kayserispor vs Eyupspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Regular Season - 32 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 17:00

Kayserispor

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Eyupspor

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-111.8%0-27.0%0-32.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.2%1-113.2%1-27.9%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.3%2-17.4%2-24.4%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.3%3-12.8%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.2% 55.2% 1.81 -41.7%

Draw 32.3% 28.2% 3.55 +14.7%

Away win 35.5% 23.3% 4.30 +52.6%

Over 2.5 40.6% 54.1% 1.85 -24.9%

Over 3.5 20.2% 30.8% 3.25 -34.4%

BTTS 48.8% 56.5% 1.77 -13.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 7.1%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.8%

D 32% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.0%

#3 0–1 11.8%

#4 1–0 11.2%

#5 1–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kayserispor1.1

Eyupspor1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.6% · O3.5 PROB 20.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KAYSERISPOR · PPG 1.00

EYUPSPOR · PPG 0.80

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Kayserispor (H) 32.2%

ODDS 1.81 · IMPLIED 55.2% EV -41.7%

Draw 32.3%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +14.7%

Eyupspor (A) 35.5%

ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV +52.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kayserispor face Eyupspor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kayserispor a 32% chance, the draw 32% and Eyupspor 36%, so Eyupspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kayserispor and 1.2 for Eyupspor (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kayserispor are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.80 for Eyupspor. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +52.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Kayserispor vs Eyupspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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