Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 32 Corendon Airlines Park· Antalya Sunday, May 3, 2026 17:00

Antalyaspor PPG 1.00

0-0 HIT CS2

Alanyaspor PPG 0.87

Over2.5· -1.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Antalyaspor face Alanyaspor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Antalyaspor a 31% chance, the draw 30% and Alanyaspor 39%, so Alanyaspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Antalyaspor and 1.4 for Alanyaspor (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Antalyaspor are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.87 for Alanyaspor. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.3%

Odds: 3.05 EV: -4.5%

Draw 29.8%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -1.7%

Away 39.0%

Odds: 2.28 EV: -11.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.2% Odds: 2.00 -1.6%

Over 3.5 27.3% Odds: 3.50 -4.5%

BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.75 -3.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Antalyaspor

1.24

Alanyaspor

1.40

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 61%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.87)