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Tusla City vs Igman Konjic Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 21 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 15:00

Tusla City

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Igman Konjic

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.70)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-18.0%0-25.6%0-32.6%0-4+1.2%1 1-08.4%1-111.7%1-28.1%1-33.8%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.2%2-18.6%2-26.0%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.0%3-14.2%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.1%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% — — —

Draw 28.5% — — —

Away win 34.1% — — —

Over 2.5 54.2% — — —

Over 3.5 31.9% — — —

BTTS 59.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.4%

D 28% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2✓ 8.1%

#4 0–0 5.8%

#5 1–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tusla City1.5

Igman Konjic1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.2% · O3.5 PROB 31.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TUSLA CITY · PPG 1.40

IGMAN KONJIC · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.70)

Win probability 1X2

Tusla City (H) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Igman Konjic (A) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tusla City face Igman Konjic in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tusla City a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Igman Konjic 34%, so Tusla City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Tusla City and 1.4 for Igman Konjic (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tusla City are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.70 for Igman Konjic. This match finished 1-2.

Tusla City vs Igman Konjic Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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