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Jedinstvo Bihac vs GOSK Gabela Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 21 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 15:00

Jedinstvo Bihac logo
Jedinstvo Bihac
PPG 2.30 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
GOSK Gabela logo
GOSK Gabela
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-112.3%0-26.0%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.8%1-113.5%1-26.6%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.5%2-17.4%2-23.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.8%3-12.7%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.9%
Draw 34.2%
Away win 29.9%
Over 2.5 34.3%
Over 3.5 15.6%
BTTS 43.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 40%
BTTS 38%
Score Hit 31%
ROI -30.9%
Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob43.5%

D 34% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%
#2 0–0 12.6%
#3 1–0 13.8%
#4 0–1 12.3%
#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jedinstvo Bihac1.1
GOSK Gabela1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.3% · O3.5 PROB 15.6%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDINSTVO BIHAC · PPG 2.30

GOSK GABELA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.30) vs P(Home)=35.9%

Win probability 1X2

Jedinstvo Bihac (H) 35.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 34.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
GOSK Gabela (A) 29.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jedinstvo Bihac face GOSK Gabela in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jedinstvo Bihac a 36% chance, the draw 34% and GOSK Gabela 30%, so Jedinstvo Bihac are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Jedinstvo Bihac and 1.0 for GOSK Gabela (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jedinstvo Bihac are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 1.00 for GOSK Gabela. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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