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B. Banovici vs Sloboda Tuzla Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 21 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

B. Banovici

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Sloboda Tuzla

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-19.7%0-25.2%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.1%1-112.9%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.1%2-18.6%2-24.6%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.6%3-13.8%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.9% — — —

Draw 31.2% — — —

Away win 27.9% — — —

Over 2.5 42.9% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 50.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob50.1%

H 41% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 43% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.9%

#2 0–0 9.1%

#3 1–0 12.1%

#4 2–1 8.6%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B. Banovici1.3

Sloboda Tuzla1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.9% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

B. BANOVICI · PPG 1.40

SLOBODA TUZLA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

B. Banovici (H) 40.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sloboda Tuzla (A) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

B. Banovici face Sloboda Tuzla in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B. Banovici a 41% chance, the draw 31% and Sloboda Tuzla 28%, so B. Banovici are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for B. Banovici and 1.1 for Sloboda Tuzla (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B. Banovici are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Sloboda Tuzla. This match finished 1-1.

B. Banovici vs Sloboda Tuzla Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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