Gavorrano vs Orvietana Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone E

Italy - Serie D - Girone E Group E - 32 Stadio Romeo Malservisi· Bagno di Gavorrano Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Gavorrano PPG 1.13

0-1 HIT CS4

Orvietana PPG 1.13

Home· +15.0% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Gavorrano face Orvietana in Italy - Serie D - Girone E on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gavorrano a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Orvietana 26%, so Gavorrano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Gavorrano and 0.9 for Orvietana (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gavorrano are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.13 for Orvietana. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.0%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.0%

Odds: 2.50 EV: +15.0%

Draw 28.1%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -15.7%

Away 25.9%

Odds: 2.55 EV: -34.0%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.7% Odds: 2.25 -12.9%

Over 3.5 18.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 44.0% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✔

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Gavorrano

1.32

Orvietana

0.92

Model SuggestionNo Bet  ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.13)