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Petrzalka vs Banska Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 08:30

Petrzalka

PPG 2.23 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Banska Bystrica

PPG 2.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-110.3%0-26.7%0-32.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-09.8%1-112.7%1-28.3%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.1%2-17.9%2-25.1%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.5%3-13.2%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.2% 42.0% 2.38 -21.0%

Draw 30.6% 29.9% 3.35 +2.5%

Away win 36.2% 38.2% 2.62 -5.2%

Over 2.5 46.6% 54.1% 1.85 -13.8%

Over 3.5 25.1% 31.3% 3.20 -19.7%

BTTS 53.6% 59.9% 1.67 -10.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob53.6%

D 31% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 7.9%

#3 0–1 10.3%

#4 1–2 8.3%

#5 1–0 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petrzalka1.2

Banska Bystrica1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.6% · O3.5 PROB 25.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PETRZALKA · PPG 2.23

BANSKA BYSTRICA · PPG 2.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.23), Away EXCELLENT (2.08)

Win probability 1X2

Petrzalka (H) 33.2%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -21.0%

Draw 30.6%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +2.5%

Banska Bystrica (A) 36.2%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -5.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Petrzalka face Banska Bystrica in Slovakia - 2. liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petrzalka a 33% chance, the draw 31% and Banska Bystrica 36%, so Banska Bystrica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Petrzalka and 1.3 for Banska Bystrica (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petrzalka are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 2.08 for Banska Bystrica. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.5%. This match finished 1-3.

Petrzalka vs Banska Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Slovakia - 2. liga Predictions