Today / Slovakia - 2. liga / Žilina II vs Slovan Bratislava II

Žilina II vs Slovan Bratislava II Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Matchday 7 ·Monday, September 7, 2026, 15:00

Žilina II logo
Žilina II
PPG 1.65 · HOME
LAST 5
WWDWL
VS
UPCOMING
Slovan Bratislava II logo
Slovan Bratislava II
PPG 0.95 · AWAY
LAST 5
LLWDD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 61% chance

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-15.9%0-23.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.7%1-110.7%1-26.6%1-32.7%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.6%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.7%3-15.8%3-23.6%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-13.9%4+-22.4%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.5% 46.5% 2.15 -0.0%
Draw 24.2% 29.4% 3.40 -10.6%
Away win 29.3% 36.4% 2.75 -11.7%
Over 2.5 59.6% 61.7% 1.62 -3.5%
Over 3.5 36.4% 41.5% 2.41 -12.3%
BTTS 59.0% 64.5% 1.55 -8.6%
Home O1.5 49.9% 53.5% 1.87 -6.7%
Away O1.5 36.8% 45.0% 2.22 -18.3%

League track record

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 52%
BTTS 68%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -5.7%
Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.0%

H 46% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%
#2 2–1 9.6%
#3 1–2 6.6%
#4 2–0 7.8%
#5 1–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Žilina II1.8
Slovan Bratislava II1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ŽILINA II · PPG 1.65

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA II · PPG 0.95

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
Chance this pick lands
61%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Žilina II (H) 46.5%
ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -0.0%
Draw 24.2%
ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.6%
Slovan Bratislava II (A) 29.3%
ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -11.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Žilina II face Slovan Bratislava II in Slovakia - 2. liga on Monday, September 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Žilina II a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Slovan Bratislava II 29%, so Žilina II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Žilina II and 1.2 for Slovan Bratislava II (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Žilina II are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 0.95 for Slovan Bratislava II. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +4.6%.

PredictVantage

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