Trabzonspor vs Goztepe Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 32 Papara Park· Trabzon Saturday, May 2, 2026 17:00

Trabzonspor PPG 2.13

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Goztepe PPG 1.53

Away· +21.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Trabzonspor face Goztepe in Turkey - Süper Lig on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trabzonspor a 43% chance, the draw 31% and Goztepe 27%, so Trabzonspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Trabzonspor and 1.1 for Goztepe (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trabzonspor are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.53 for Goztepe. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.8%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -26.0%

Draw 30.6%

Odds: 3.70 EV: +13.2%

Away 26.6%

Odds: 4.55 EV: +21.0%

Model lean: BTTS ✔ Hit Not tracked as an official bet.

1X2 pick: Home → Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.5% Odds: 1.80 -19.9%

Over 3.5 23.3% Odds: 3.00 -30.1%

BTTS 51.1% Odds: 1.73 -11.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Trabzonspor

1.40

Goztepe

1.06

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+21.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 61%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.13) > Away GOOD (1.53)