Fenerbahce vs Basaksehir Prediction & Tips

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Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 32 Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu· Istanbul Saturday, May 2, 2026 17:00

Fenerbahce PPG 2.33

3-1 MISS

Basaksehir PPG 1.60

Away· +25.6% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.1%

Odds: 1.63 EV: -26.5%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +14.0%

Away 27.0%

Odds: 4.65 EV: +25.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.5% Odds: 1.50 -18.3%

Over 3.5 32.2% Odds: 2.25 -27.6%

BTTS 58.6% Odds: 1.53 -10.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Fenerbahce

1.63

Basaksehir

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+25.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away GOOD (1.60)