S. Lubovna vs P. Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Slovakia - 2. liga Regular Season - 28 Štadión MFK Goral Stará Ľubovňa· Stará Ľubovňa Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:00

S. Lubovna PPG 1.31

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

P. Bystrica PPG 0.92

Home· +24.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Lubovna face P. Bystrica in Slovakia - 2. liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Lubovna a 44% chance, the draw 27% and P. Bystrica 29%, so S. Lubovna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for S. Lubovna and 1.3 for P. Bystrica (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Lubovna are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 0.92 for P. Bystrica. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +24.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.5%

Odds: 2.85 EV: +24.0%

Draw 27.2%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -6.2%

Away 29.3%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -35.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.8% Odds: 1.70 -1.7%

Over 3.5 35.4% Odds: 2.75 -2.6%

BTTS 61.5% Odds: 1.55 -4.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

S. Lubovna

1.67

P. Bystrica

1.34

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+24.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away POOR (0.92)