Este vs Clodiense Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Italy - Serie D - Girone C Group C - 32 Nuovo Stadio Comunale· Este Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00

Este PPG 1.73

1-1 HIT CS3

Clodiense PPG 1.67

Away· -4.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Este face Clodiense in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Este a 29% chance, the draw 31% and Clodiense 40%, so Clodiense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Este and 1.1 for Clodiense (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Este are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.67 for Clodiense. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.1%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -20.0%

Draw 31.2%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -6.4%

Away 39.7%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -4.7%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 30.7% Odds: 2.50 -23.3%

Over 3.5 13.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 38.2% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Este

0.87

Clodiense

1.07

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 78%

BTTS/No 52%

Score Hit 74%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.73), Away GOOD (1.67)