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Slovan B. W vs Petrzalka W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Championship Group - 5 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Slovan B. W

PPG 2.60 · HOME

11 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Petrzalka W

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.2%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.7%1-10.8%1-20.5%1-30.2%1-4+0.1%2 2-01.9%2-12.3%2-21.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.4%3-14.1%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-023.5%4+-128.7%4+-217.4%4+-37.1%4+-4+2.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 93.5% — — —

Draw 4.2% — — —

Away win 2.3% — — —

Over 2.5 96.3% — — —

Over 3.5 90.1% — — —

BTTS 70.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 11-0

xG (home)5.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob70.2%

H 94% / xG 5.5-1.2 / O2.5 96% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–1 6.2%

#2 4–1 5.7%

#3 5–0 5.1%

#4 4–0 4.6%

#5 3–1 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovan B. W5.5

Petrzalka W1.2

COMBINED 6.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 96.3% · O3.5 PROB 90.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVAN B. W · PPG 2.60

PETRZALKA W · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.60), Away AVERAGE (1.30) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Slovan B. W (H) 93.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 4.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Petrzalka W (A) 2.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovan B. W face Petrzalka W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovan B. W a 94% chance, the draw 4% and Petrzalka W 2%, so Slovan B. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.5 for Slovan B. W and 1.2 for Petrzalka W (6.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-1. There is a 96% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovan B. W are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.30 for Petrzalka W. This match finished 11-0.

Slovan B. W vs Petrzalka W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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