Today / Slovakia - I Liga - Women / Ruzomberok W vs Trnava W

Ruzomberok W vs Trnava W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Group Stage ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Ruzomberok W logo
Ruzomberok W
PPG 1.45 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Trnava W logo
Trnava W
PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-12.0%0-21.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-03.3%1-15.5%1-24.6%1-32.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-04.5%2-17.6%2-26.3%2-33.5%2-4+2.2%3 3-04.1%3-16.9%3-25.8%3-33.3%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-19.4%4+-27.9%4+-34.4%4+-4+2.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 59.7%
Draw 19.1%
Away win 21.3%
Over 2.5 81.9%
Over 3.5 64.7%
BTTS 77.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 67%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob77.0%

H 60% / xG 2.8-1.7 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 77%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.6%
#2 3–1 6.9%
#3 2–2 6.3%
#4 1–1 5.5%
#5 3–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ruzomberok W2.8
Trnava W1.7

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.9% · O3.5 PROB 64.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RUZOMBEROK W · PPG 1.45

TRNAVA W · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.45) > Away POOR (0.73)

Win probability 1X2

Ruzomberok W (H) 59.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 19.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Trnava W (A) 21.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ruzomberok W face Trnava W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ruzomberok W a 60% chance, the draw 19% and Trnava W 21%, so Ruzomberok W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Ruzomberok W and 1.7 for Trnava W (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 77% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ruzomberok W are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.73 for Trnava W. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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