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Turkey - Süper Lig logo Turkey flag Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 32 Gaziantep Stadyumu· Gaziantep Friday, May 1, 2026 17:00
Gaziantep logo Gaziantep PPG 1.33
0-2 HIT CS4
Besiktas logo Besiktas PPG 1.67
Draw· +10.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.6%
Odds: 3.75 EV: +7.2%
Draw 27.5%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +10.0%
Away 44.0%
Odds: 1.81 EV: -20.4%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.7% Odds: 1.50 -14.9%
Over 3.5 34.3% Odds: 2.25 -22.8%
BTTS 60.6% Odds: 1.48 -10.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 0-2
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Gaziantep
1.30
Besiktas
1.65

Model Suggestion

BTTS -10.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+10.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

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