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Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Turkey - Süper Lig logo Turkey flag Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 31 Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium· Konya Monday, April 27, 2026 17:00
Konyaspor logo Konyaspor PPG 1.40
2-1 MISS
Trabzonspor logo Trabzonspor PPG 2.20
Draw· +4.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Konyaspor face Trabzonspor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Konyaspor a 29% chance, the draw 30% and Trabzonspor 42%, so Trabzonspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Konyaspor and 1.8 for Trabzonspor (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Konyaspor are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 2.20 for Trabzonspor. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +4.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.8%
Odds: 2.98 EV: -14.2%
Draw 29.8%
Odds: 3.50 EV: +4.3%
Away 41.5%
Odds: 2.22 EV: -7.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.70 +0.3%
Over 3.5 35.3% Odds: 2.80 -1.2%
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.57 -8.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Konyaspor
1.21
Trabzonspor
1.79

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +0.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Draw(+4.3%)

League Track Record

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 44%
ROI 20.3%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs Home AVERAGE (1.40)

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