Antalyaspor vs Konyaspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 30 Corendon Airlines Park· Antalya Friday, April 17, 2026 17:00

Antalyaspor PPG 1.07

0-2 HIT CS4

Konyaspor PPG 0.93

Over3.5· +11.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Antalyaspor face Konyaspor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Antalyaspor a 27% chance, the draw 24% and Konyaspor 49%, so Konyaspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Antalyaspor and 1.7 for Konyaspor (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Antalyaspor are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.93 for Konyaspor. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +11.5%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.4%

Odds: 3.05 EV: -16.4%

Draw 24.0%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -20.8%

Away 48.6%

Odds: 2.28 EV: +10.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.2% Odds: 1.95 +7.6%

Over 3.5 32.8% Odds: 3.40 +11.5%

BTTS 57.1% Odds: 1.73 -1.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✔

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Antalyaspor

1.21

Konyaspor

1.68

Model SuggestionBTTS -1.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-1.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away POOR (0.93)