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Antalyaspor vs Konyaspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Matchday 30 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:00

Antalyaspor

PPG 1.07 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLW

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Konyaspor

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 58% chance

Model probability 57.1% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-19.4%0-27.9%0-34.4%0-4+2.7%1 1-06.7%1-111.3%1-29.5%1-35.3%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.0%2-16.8%2-25.7%2-33.2%2-4+2.0%3 3-01.6%3-12.7%3-22.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.4% 32.8% 3.05 -16.4%

Draw 24.0% 30.3% 3.30 -20.8%

Away win 48.6% 43.9% 2.28 +10.8%

Over 2.5 55.2% 51.3% 1.95 +7.6%

Over 3.5 32.8% 29.4% 3.40 +11.5%

BTTS 57.1% 57.8% 1.73 -1.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob57.1%

A 49% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–1 9.4%

#4 0–2✓ 7.9%

#5 2–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Antalyaspor1.2

Konyaspor1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.2% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ANTALYASPOR · PPG 1.07

KONYASPOR · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

58%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

Antalyaspor (H) 27.4%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -16.4%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -20.8%

Konyaspor (A) 48.6%

ODDS 2.28 · IMPLIED 43.9% EV +10.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Antalyaspor face Konyaspor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Antalyaspor a 27% chance, the draw 24% and Konyaspor 49%, so Konyaspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Antalyaspor and 1.7 for Konyaspor (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Antalyaspor are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.93 for Konyaspor. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +11.5%. This match finished 0-2.

Antalyaspor vs Konyaspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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