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GOSK Gabela vs Stupcanica Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 20 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 17:00

GOSK Gabela

PPG 1.78 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Stupcanica

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.1%0-110.2%0-24.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.2%1-113.1%1-26.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.0%2-18.3%2-23.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.8%3-13.5%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.9% — — —

Draw 32.5% — — —

Away win 26.6% — — —

Over 2.5 44.4% — — —

Over 3.5 18.0% — — —

BTTS 51.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.0%

H 41% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 44% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 11.1%

#3 1–0 14.2%

#4 2–0 9.0%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GOSK Gabela1.3

Stupcanica0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GOSK GABELA · PPG 1.78

STUPCANICA · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

GOSK Gabela (H) 40.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stupcanica (A) 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

GOSK Gabela face Stupcanica in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GOSK Gabela a 41% chance, the draw 33% and Stupcanica 27%, so GOSK Gabela are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for GOSK Gabela and 0.9 for Stupcanica (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GOSK Gabela are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.44 for Stupcanica. This match finished 1-2.

GOSK Gabela vs Stupcanica Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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