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R. Hadzici vs Vitez Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 20 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 15:00

R. Hadzici

PPG 1.38 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Vitez

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-13.8%0-22.1%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.7%1-18.6%1-24.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.7%2-19.7%2-25.5%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.5%3-17.3%3-24.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-17.0%4+-23.9%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.3% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 23.9% — — —

Over 2.5 59.9% — — —

Over 3.5 43.7% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.5%

H 51% / xG 2.3-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.7%

#4 3–1 7.3%

#5 3–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

R. Hadzici2.3

Vitez1.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.9% · O3.5 PROB 43.7%

Form & verdict PPG

R. HADZICI · PPG 1.38

VITEZ · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.78)

Win probability 1X2

R. Hadzici (H) 51.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vitez (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Hadzici face Vitez in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Hadzici a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Vitez 24%, so R. Hadzici are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for R. Hadzici and 1.1 for Vitez (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Hadzici are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.78 for Vitez. This match finished 1-0.

R. Hadzici vs Vitez Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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