Today / Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH / Tusla City vs TOSK Tesanj

Tusla City vs TOSK Tesanj Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 20 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 15:00

Tusla City

PPG 1.22 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

TOSK Tesanj

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.22), Away AVERAGE (1.11)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-110.1%0-29.0%0-35.3%0-4+3.5%1 1-06.2%1-111.0%1-29.8%1-35.8%1-4+3.9%2 2-03.4%2-16.0%2-25.3%2-33.2%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.2%3-12.2%3-21.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 53.5% — — —

Over 2.5 54.6% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 55.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob55.1%

A 54% / xG 1.1-1.8 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 0–1 10.1%

#3 1–2 9.8%

#4 0–2 9.0%

#5 1–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tusla City1.1

TOSK Tesanj1.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.6% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TUSLA CITY · PPG 1.22

TOSK TESANJ · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.22), Away AVERAGE (1.11)

Win probability 1X2

Tusla City (H) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TOSK Tesanj (A) 53.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tusla City face TOSK Tesanj in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tusla City a 23% chance, the draw 23% and TOSK Tesanj 54%, so TOSK Tesanj are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Tusla City and 1.8 for TOSK Tesanj (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tusla City are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.11 for TOSK Tesanj. This match finished 2-1.

Tusla City vs TOSK Tesanj Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

More Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH Predictions