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Travnik vs B. Gracanica Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 20 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 15:00

Travnik

PPG 2.11 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

B. Gracanica

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.11), Away POOR (0.78) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-14.5%0-21.1%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-017.6%1-18.5%1-22.1%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.6%2-18.0%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-010.5%3-15.1%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-07.7%4+-13.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.5% — — —

Draw 19.9% — — —

Away win 8.6% — — —

Over 2.5 42.4% — — —

Over 3.5 21.6% — — —

BTTS 32.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob32.5%

H 72% / xG 1.9-0.5 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 32%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.6%

#2 2–0 16.6%

#3 3–0 10.5%

#4 0–0 9.3%

#5 1–1✓ 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Travnik1.9

B. Gracanica0.5

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.4% · O3.5 PROB 21.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TRAVNIK · PPG 2.11

B. GRACANICA · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.11), Away POOR (0.78) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Travnik (H) 71.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

B. Gracanica (A) 8.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Travnik face B. Gracanica in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Travnik a 72% chance, the draw 20% and B. Gracanica 9%, so Travnik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Travnik and 0.5 for B. Gracanica (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Travnik are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 0.78 for B. Gracanica. This match finished 1-1.

Travnik vs B. Gracanica Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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