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Tomislav vs B. Banovici Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 20 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 15:00

Tomislav

PPG 1.78 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

B. Banovici

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-15.1%0-22.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.9%1-110.1%1-25.2%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-110.0%2-25.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.4%3-16.5%3-23.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-15.0%4+-22.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.3% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 19.1% — — —

Over 2.5 57.4% — — —

Over 3.5 35.0% — — —

BTTS 55.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.1%

H 59% / xG 2.0-1.0 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 10.0%

#3 1–0 9.9%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 3–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tomislav2.0

B. Banovici1.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.4% · O3.5 PROB 35.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TOMISLAV · PPG 1.78

B. BANOVICI · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Tomislav (H) 59.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

B. Banovici (A) 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tomislav face B. Banovici in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tomislav a 59% chance, the draw 22% and B. Banovici 19%, so Tomislav are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Tomislav and 1.0 for B. Banovici (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tomislav are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.13 for B. Banovici. This match finished 0-1.

Tomislav vs B. Banovici Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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