Today / Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH / R. Hadzici vs Vitez

R. Hadzici vs Vitez Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Saturday, April 25, 2026, 15:00

R. Hadzici
PPG 1.38 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Vitez
PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.78)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-13.8%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.6%1-18.6%1-24.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.7%2-19.8%2-24.9%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.3%3-17.4%3-23.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.1%4+-17.1%4+-23.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 65.7%
Draw 18.8%
Away win 15.5%
Over 2.5 63.5%
Over 3.5 41.4%
BTTS 56.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 40%
BTTS 38%
Score Hit 31%
ROI -30.9%
Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob56.9%

H 66% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.8%
#2 2–0 9.7%
#3 1–1 8.6%
#4 1–0 8.6%
#5 3–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

R. Hadzici2.3
Vitez1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.5% · O3.5 PROB 41.4%

Form & verdict PPG

R. HADZICI · PPG 1.38

VITEZ · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.78)

Win probability 1X2

R. Hadzici (H) 65.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 18.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Vitez (A) 15.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Hadzici face Vitez in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Hadzici a 66% chance, the draw 19% and Vitez 16%, so R. Hadzici are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for R. Hadzici and 1.0 for Vitez (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Hadzici are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.78 for Vitez.

PredictVantage

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